LITTLE ROCK, Ark – The tropics have been exceptionally calm this year with only 7 named storms so far, most of which only upgraded to tropical storms. Now there is a major hurricane and a development area that looks interesting.
The most significant story in the tropics right now is Category Three Hurricane Fiona. Fortunately, this storm will not affect the United States, but it could bring damaging winds to parts of eastern Canada.
Hurricane Fiona has no chance of impacting Arkansas, but there is an area of tropical development that could impact the natural state.
Obviously, it’s WAY too early to predict specifics, but the National Hurricane Center is confident that it will turn into an Ermine and move towards the Gulf of Mexico.
Forecast models agree that a strong storm will form over the Gulf of Mexico in the middle of next week (09/26 – 09/30). European and American models have the system off the west coast of Florida on Thursday, September 29.
The system will likely develop over the next 3-5 days in Gaston. Then, forecast models show it moving over Cuba and strengthening over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico.
Again, it’s over a week away, so a lot could change, but the fact that two major forecast models are in agreement is why we’ll be watching this system closely. Stay with the Arkansas Storm team for the latest tropical updates.
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The Arkansas Storm Team is a collaboration of two stations to bring you the largest weather team in the state when covering Arkansas weather.