Arkansas Storm Team Weather Blog: Slow Improvements in Drought Conditions; Find out when more rain is expected


LITTLE ROCK, Ark. – Recent rainfall has certainly benefited Arkansas’ drought conditions, however, progress is a bit slow. On Thursday morning, a new drought monitor was released.

The severe drought area is the most notable change. This went from 80% to 65%. The area of ​​extreme drought has also shrunk by about half, from 18% to 9%.

Current drought monitoring as of 3/11/22

While in the new Drought Monitor the entire state still remains in some type of drought condition, the severity level is down slightly from last week.

Drought monitor valid from 08/27/22 to 11/02/22

Burn bans also continue to improve with recent rainfall. As of the morning of November 3, only seven counties in Arkansas remained under a burning ban; Lee, Hempstead, Miller, Lafayette, Columbia, Ashley and Chicot.

Burning bans in effect as of 03/11/22

Wildfire danger has also seen an improvement in recent weeks. Northwest Arkansas currently has no increased wildfire danger. Parts of central and northern Arkansas are at moderate wildfire risk, while parts of central and southern Arkansas are at high wildfire risk.

Danger of fire as of 03/11/22

Although recent rainfall has improved the overall dryness in Arkansas, more rain is needed. The good news is that the end of this week brings additional chances of rain. For many areas, this precipitation appears to be quite significant.

The next storm system expected to arrive in Arkansas late Friday evening brings the possibility of strong to severe storms, as well as heavy rain in some areas.

For more details on our severe weather risk, you can follow the link below.

Weather Forecast Center 5 Day Precipitation Forecast

With those storms expected late Friday night, heavy rain looks very likely over far western Arkansas in parts of Oklahoma. Central Arkansas could see about 1-2 inches, with about 1 inch likely in eastern Arkansas.

Outlook for excessive precipitation

The Weather Prediction Center also highlights western Arkansas under a slight chance (15%) of excessive precipitation. The rest of the state is at marginal risk (5%).

While widespread extreme weather is not desired across the state, it appears that potential rainfall could be very beneficial to the current drought conditions.


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The Arkansas Storm Team is a collaboration of two stations to bring you the largest weather team in the state when covering Arkansas weather.

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